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Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$684M Vol.+50 more

Fed Decision in September?

No change76%
25 bps increase24%
$33M Vol.Fomc+3 more

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos2%
$277M Vol.+6 more

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez22%
Gavin Newsom17%
$1B Vol.+49 more

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 312%
August 15<1%
$20M Vol.Hormuz traffic returns to normal

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

180-19997%
200-2193%
$3M Vol.Elon tweets+24 more

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3177%
October 3166%
$14M Vol.+15 more

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance47%
$688M Vol.+41 more

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

200-21930%
180-19927%
$767K Vol.Elon tweets+24 more

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202714%
December 31, 20268%
$21M Vol.Putin out as president+3 more

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?

65-8961%
90-11426%
$303K Vol.Elon tweets 48h+8 more

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%
Flávio Bolsonaro28%
$123M Vol.+15 more

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
September 3011%
$10M Vol.+8 more

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)70%
New People (NL)16%
$19M Vol.+6 more

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds98%
James Fishback2%
$4M Vol.+5 more

Trump out as President by August 31?

<1%
chance
$1M Vol.Trump out

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

August 1100%
August 3100%
$165K Vol.Trump insult on+29 more

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%
Édouard Philippe26%
$119M Vol.+39 more

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot53%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
$32M Vol.+16 more

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

46%
chance
$8M Vol.Hormuz traffic returns to normal

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 3036%
August 3113%
$9M Vol.Us x iran diplomatic meeting+7 more

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

18%
chance
$7M Vol.

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 3064%
Switzerland13%
$4M Vol.Where us iran meeting+17 more

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 202637%
December 310%
$3M Vol.+4 more