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Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
出来高 $684M他 50 件

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez22%
Gavin Newsom17%
出来高 $1B他 49 件

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos1%
出来高 $277M他 6 件

Fed Decision in September?

No change76%
25 bps increase24%
出来高 $33MFomc他 3 件

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

180-199>99%
200-219<1%
出来高 $3MElon tweets他 24 件

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 312%
August 15<1%
出来高 $20MHormuz traffic returns to normal

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3178%
October 3165%
出来高 $14M他 15 件

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance47%
出来高 $688M他 41 件

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

200-21930%
180-19927%
出来高 $775KElon tweets他 24 件

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202714%
December 31, 20268%
出来高 $21MPutin out as president他 3 件

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?

65-8968%
90-11420%
出来高 $316KElon tweets 48h他 8 件

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%
Flávio Bolsonaro28%
出来高 $123M他 15 件

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
September 3011%
出来高 $10M他 8 件

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)71%
New People (NL)19%
出来高 $19M他 6 件

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds98%
James Fishback2%
出来高 $4M他 5 件

Trump out as President by August 31?

<1%
確率
出来高 $1MTrump out

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

August 1100%
August 3100%
出来高 $166KTrump insult on他 29 件

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%
Édouard Philippe26%
出来高 $119M他 39 件

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

19%
確率
出来高 $7M

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

180-19920%
160-17919%
出来高 $249KElon tweets他 24 件

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

46%
確率
出来高 $8MHormuz traffic returns to normal

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

25%
確率
出来高 $2M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot53%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
出来高 $32M他 16 件

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 3036%
August 3113%
出来高 $9MUs x iran diplomatic meeting他 7 件