Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$3M Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

December 31, 2026

$1,325,432

37%

December 31

$1,141,374

0.2%

June 30, 2026

$486,244

0.6%

March 31, 2026

$274,563

November 30

$173,283

0.3%

February 28, 2026

$12,571

0.1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.…