Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$10M Vol.Ends Jun 30, 2026

Outcomes

December 31

$295,667

17%

0.5%

September 30

$1,889,774

11%

August 31

$1,977,456

0.6%

April 30

$1,651,617

July 31

$1,443,324

May 31

$1,339,221

0.3%

June 30

$1,218,248

0.1%

March 31

$330,325

0.2%

June 15

$221,114

June 22

$129,291

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.…